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$CAP is rebounding today, is it time to short now?
$CAP 今天从底部反弹上来了。 我昨天写的文章里讲到了这个，我说要慎重做空，因为可能会在这边磨一磨。 今天我看它反弹了，然后我又去看了一下它数据。 数据其实没有那么支持现在做空，但是我个人最后还是做空了。 —————————————————— 我们看一下它的合约数据。 可以发现，它的合约持仓量在稳步的上涨，多空比在稳步下降。 常看我文章的人应该知道，这说明有资金在做空。 确确实实也是这样的，因为它毕竟反弹上来了嘛。 一般来说，上涨就会吸引很多做空的资金，下跌就会吸引很多做多的资金。 我们再来看一下它近期的合约数据。 可以发现，它的持仓量是呈现一个先下跌后上涨的趋势，多空比是呈现一个先上升后下降的趋势。 目前来看，那持仓量并没有上升到上一次暴跌前的位置，多空比也并没有下降到上一次暴跌前的位置。 我看到这个数据，做空的时候其实是比较犹豫的。 不过，我最后还是做空了。 —————————————————— 我个人认为，目前$CAP 短期应该是见顶或者接近顶部了。 我在$0.05 左右的位置做空的，我认为这个位置应该是短期的高位了。 而且，它从底部到现在也已经翻了三四倍了，涨得已经很多了。
No. 1 Top Trader by 365D PnL
3. The contract faces liquidation
很快就到了8月的重头戏，BTC分叉了。BCC出生了(跟现在的BCH还不一样)，看资讯一直是说什么大区块，作为纯血小白，完全搞不懂什么专业术语，我只知道持有一个BTC就会给一个BCC。有些交易所已经提前上架了BCC，最高我印象里有3500-5000一个。最后跌到1500-2000，就稳定住了，比特币的季度合约也有了-10%的溢价。分叉当天，盘面彻底失控，比特币跟疯了一样直接拉出10个点以上，期货更是价格回归，爆拉了20个点,直接突破2W新高。现在想想那段时间简直疯狂的不像话。 我的账户终于来到了32500了，总盈利来到了了快3000元。提现，吃饭，第一次去吃王品。 但比特币持续新高，我的ETH怎么没涨多少呢。（现在懂了，币王上涨吸血全场，所有资金和焦点都在BTC上）。这是不是又要暴跌了。转念一下，那要赶紧做空他，当时的OKEX还没有ETH期货，网上搜了搜，有一家叫比特星的网站专做ETH期货。也是币本位合约，但深度很差，对于只有1W块钱的我来说，也足够了。说干就干，买入7个以太，转入比特星，现价开空，神奇的事情又来了，ETH开始缓慢攀升，缓慢的意思是每天几个点涨幅，好的时候十几个点涨幅。
Short Space X at the price of 138. Although I really like this company, great companies don't necessarily have great prices. When big players want it to fall, it will still fall. Pick up chips below 100; it may drop to 85 in the next few months.
The above only represents personal trading views and does not constitute any investment advice. $SPCX
Big Brother Maji's chain liquidation, forcibly closed 1314 ETH in five minutes!!!!
$ETH 这次可以确认了。 北京时间8月11日23点37分，麻吉大哥的公开账户第一次触发强平，730枚ETH多单被系统以约1861.65美元卖出。 五分钟以后，ETH继续下探。 23点42分，系统再次动手，又以约1853.23美元强制平掉584枚ETH。 两轮强平合计砍掉1314枚ETH，确认亏损约4.69万美元，强平手续费约854美元。仓位也从3650枚迅速缩到2336枚。 可他还在场内。 目前剩余ETH多单价值约434万美元，持仓均价仍为1893.59美元，浮亏约8.28万美元。账户权益只剩11.92万美元，可提余额依旧是零。 第二轮强平完成后，新的动态清算价降到约1843.98美元。部分仓位被卖掉，账户暂时多出十几美元的缓冲，可这并不代表安全。 ETH现价若再次跌向1844美元，第三轮强平随时可能到来。 五分钟，两次强平，1314枚ETH被系统接管。 麻吉大哥还没彻底出局，但现在每一次下跌，都可能从他的账户里继续割走一块仓位。 数据截至北京时间2026年8月11日23点44分，仓位与清算价仍在实时变化。
$SPCX $ETH $SNDK Am I ultimately doomed to liquidation?? Please stop falling, at $108 I will be liquidated, can it please stop falling? I really can't borrow money to top up margin, I'm really scared of liquidation and losing everything, Elon Musk, the god of faith, can you pull it up? I'm really scared, I never want to use leverage again, I can't sleep at all now, my heart is pounding, I don't want to be liquidated, someone please save me, big shots, pull the rocket up, I'm really suffering #本周三CPI公布，9月加息定价会改写吗？
Snapshot at 12 Aug 2026, 00:06
SanDisk's rebound this time is weak and soft, with heavy selling pressure above. Short-term sustained upward momentum is difficult.
At the current position, short positions can be directly set up. The first target is 1230; if it breaks below, then look at 1190.
Set stop loss above 1300 to give enough room; don't get shaken out by intraday rebounds.
The storage sector as a whole is still digesting the sentiment after earnings reports. SanDisk's own guidance is weak, and concerns about peak gross margin remain. The rebound is just giving shorts a chance.
Short on the rebound, don't chase longs. Wait until it falls through before considering. $BTC $ETH $SNDK #财报观察员：AI基建财报接力登场 #本周三CPI公布，9月加息定价会改写吗？ #AI基建融资升温，英伟达英特尔路径分化
SNDK 1266 went short
$SNDK SanDisk directly went short, the recent rebound highs are getting lower and lower, the upward pressure is very tight, just short it.
$ETH Ethereum at this position, I don't know how to trade it, just afraid it will go down directly, I really want to short, but the position is not good, so I will wait and see first.
$BTC Bitcoin is also bearish, short it at rebound points, I placed a short at 65000, take the opportunity to trade, if not, just wait and see.
Snapshot at 12 Aug 2026, 02:10
Morning Analysis: $BTC hit a new low again at 63163 in the early hours, while $ETH climbed back to 1880 against the trend
BTC dropped to 63163 at 2:30 AM — marking the third consecutive night of new lows. From Monday's 65500 to last night's 63405 and then today's 63163, the bears push down a notch every twelve hours, tightening the pressure step by step. ETH's lowest point last night was 1852, but after 3 AM it pulled itself back to 1880, actually rising.
This divergence is worth noting. BTC's three new lows each only pushed down by three to four hundred points — 63776→63405→63163 — showing a slowdown. The bears' momentum is not as strong as Monday night. ETH is even more unusual; while BTC hit new lows, ETH did not follow but climbed back from 1852 to 1880, returning to the level before last night's crash. In the short term, ETH is stronger than BTC — this phenomenon appearing before the CPI usually means the market is betting in advance on "weaker data and a rebound in risk appetite."
The three consecutive days of sharp declines have wiped out all the gains accumulated after the NFP. BTC fell more than 2300 points from 65500 to 63163, and ETH dropped 86 dollars from 1938 to 1852.
Tonight's CPI is the final showdown. Weak data → short covering → violent rebound. Strong data → 62800 or even lower. Before this, the market has already found a temporary balance between 63000-63800, waiting.
Key levels: BTC support at 63163 is the early morning low; breaking it points to 62800. Resistance at 63800 is last night's crash point. ETH support at 1855 is the August 2 low defense line; resistance at 1898 is last night's high.
See you at 8:30 PM for the verdict.
#财报观察员：AI基建财报接力登场
#本周三CPI公布，9月加息定价会改写吗？
#现货ETF资金分化，BTC卖压仍在
Current trend:
Tonight, after a false bullish rally, BTC and ETH quickly crashed the market using negative news.
The current trend is still bearish, and the price hasn't bottomed out yet, so no need to consider going long.
Operation:
Continue holding short positions to profit; I don't want to take profits at this level anyway.
Currently, I see BTC support around 63050 below, and partial profit-taking near ETH support around 1842.
In the short term, I don't think this is the time to go long; I believe the decline will continue.
Shorts keep enjoying the gains!!!
$BTC $ETH