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$CAP is rebounding today, is it time to short now?
$CAP 今天从底部反弹上来了。 我昨天写的文章里讲到了这个,我说要慎重做空,因为可能会在这边磨一磨。 今天我看它反弹了,然后我又去看了一下它数据。 数据其实没有那么支持现在做空,但是我个人最后还是做空了。 —————————————————— 我们看一下它的合约数据。 可以发现,它的合约持仓量在稳步的上涨,多空比在稳步下降。 常看我文章的人应该知道,这说明有资金在做空。 确确实实也是这样的,因为它毕竟反弹上来了嘛。 一般来说,上涨就会吸引很多做空的资金,下跌就会吸引很多做多的资金。 我们再来看一下它近期的合约数据。 可以发现,它的持仓量是呈现一个先下跌后上涨的趋势,多空比是呈现一个先上升后下降的趋势。 目前来看,那持仓量并没有上升到上一次暴跌前的位置,多空比也并没有下降到上一次暴跌前的位置。 我看到这个数据,做空的时候其实是比较犹豫的。 不过,我最后还是做空了。 —————————————————— 我个人认为,目前$CAP 短期应该是见顶或者接近顶部了。 我在$0.05 左右的位置做空的,我认为这个位置应该是短期的高位了。 而且,它从底部到现在也已经翻了三四倍了,涨得已经很多了。
No. 1 Top Trader by 365D PnL
3. The contract faces liquidation
很快就到了8月的重头戏,BTC分叉了。BCC出生了(跟现在的BCH还不一样),看资讯一直是说什么大区块,作为纯血小白,完全搞不懂什么专业术语,我只知道持有一个BTC就会给一个BCC。有些交易所已经提前上架了BCC,最高我印象里有3500-5000一个。最后跌到1500-2000,就稳定住了,比特币的季度合约也有了-10%的溢价。分叉当天,盘面彻底失控,比特币跟疯了一样直接拉出10个点以上,期货更是价格回归,爆拉了20个点,直接突破2W新高。现在想想那段时间简直疯狂的不像话。 我的账户终于来到了32500了,总盈利来到了了快3000元。提现,吃饭,第一次去吃王品。 但比特币持续新高,我的ETH怎么没涨多少呢。(现在懂了,币王上涨吸血全场,所有资金和焦点都在BTC上)。这是不是又要暴跌了。转念一下,那要赶紧做空他,当时的OKEX还没有ETH期货,网上搜了搜,有一家叫比特星的网站专做ETH期货。也是币本位合约,但深度很差,对于只有1W块钱的我来说,也足够了。说干就干,买入7个以太,转入比特星,现价开空,神奇的事情又来了,ETH开始缓慢攀升,缓慢的意思是每天几个点涨幅,好的时候十几个点涨幅。

Before every major rally, the market always gives investors one more reason to wait.
Today, that reason is the U.S. CPI, the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook, and developments around the Strait of Hormuz. Capital hasn't disappeared—it is simply waiting on the sidelines for macro uncertainty to clear.
What's interesting is that while many retail investors remain hesitant, institutional money hasn't left the market. Spot crypto ETFs continue to attract capital, suggesting that major investors are positioning for the long term rather than reacting to short-term price swings.
If inflation cools and the Fed signals a more dovish stance, capital could return quickly. In that scenario, the market leaders are likely to be:
• $BTC: The primary benchmark for overall market confidence.
• $ETH: Supported by ETF demand and continued ecosystem growth.
• $SOL: One of the strongest candidates to attract risk-on capital as market sentiment improves.
• $BNB: Backed by a powerful ecosystem and strong real-world utility.
• $OKB: Supported by the continued expansion of the OKX ecosystem, growing on-chain activity, and ongoing deflationary expectations as token utility increases.
What most investors regret isn't missing one green candle—it's missing an entire trend because they kept waiting for a "better entry." Once confidence returns, the market often moves faster than the crowd can react.
Don't let today's quiet market fool you. Periods of consolidation are often when smart money quietly builds positions. By the time FOMO returns, the best opportunities are usually already gone.
This is my personal analysis, not financial advice. If you find it valuable, follow me for more timely updates on the crypto market and Wall Street.
#CPIToResetFedBets
#BTCETHETFFlowsDiverge
#HormuzDealUnresolved
$BTC
$ETH
Big Brother Maji's chain liquidation, forcibly closed 1314 ETH in five minutes!!!!
$ETH 这次可以确认了。 北京时间8月11日23点37分,麻吉大哥的公开账户第一次触发强平,730枚ETH多单被系统以约1861.65美元卖出。 五分钟以后,ETH继续下探。 23点42分,系统再次动手,又以约1853.23美元强制平掉584枚ETH。 两轮强平合计砍掉1314枚ETH,确认亏损约4.69万美元,强平手续费约854美元。仓位也从3650枚迅速缩到2336枚。 可他还在场内。 目前剩余ETH多单价值约434万美元,持仓均价仍为1893.59美元,浮亏约8.28万美元。账户权益只剩11.92万美元,可提余额依旧是零。 第二轮强平完成后,新的动态清算价降到约1843.98美元。部分仓位被卖掉,账户暂时多出十几美元的缓冲,可这并不代表安全。 ETH现价若再次跌向1844美元,第三轮强平随时可能到来。 五分钟,两次强平,1314枚ETH被系统接管。 麻吉大哥还没彻底出局,但现在每一次下跌,都可能从他的账户里继续割走一块仓位。 数据截至北京时间2026年8月11日23点44分,仓位与清算价仍在实时变化。
Short Space X at the price of 138. Although I really like this company, great companies don't necessarily have great prices. When big players want it to fall, it will still fall. Pick up chips below 100; it may drop to 85 in the next few months.
The above only represents personal trading views and does not constitute any investment advice. $SPCX
$SPCX $ETH $SNDK Am I ultimately doomed to liquidation?? Please stop falling, at $108 I will be liquidated, can it please stop falling? I really can't borrow money to top up margin, I'm really scared of liquidation and losing everything, Elon Musk, the god of faith, can you pull it up? I'm really scared, I never want to use leverage again, I can't sleep at all now, my heart is pounding, I don't want to be liquidated, someone please save me, big shots, pull the rocket up, I'm really suffering #本周三CPI公布,9月加息定价会改写吗?
Snapshot at Aug 12, 2026, 00:06
SanDisk's rebound this time is weak and soft, with heavy selling pressure above. Short-term sustained upward momentum is difficult.
At the current position, short positions can be directly set up. The first target is 1230; if it breaks below, then look at 1190.
Set stop loss above 1300 to give enough room; don't get shaken out by intraday rebounds.
The storage sector as a whole is still digesting the sentiment after earnings reports. SanDisk's own guidance is weak, and concerns about peak gross margin remain. The rebound is just giving shorts a chance.
Short on the rebound, don't chase longs. Wait until it falls through before considering. $BTC $ETH $SNDK #财报观察员:AI基建财报接力登场 #本周三CPI公布,9月加息定价会改写吗? #AI基建融资升温,英伟达英特尔路径分化
SNDK 1266 went short
$SNDK SanDisk directly went short, the recent rebound highs are getting lower and lower, the upward pressure is very tight, just short it.
$ETH Ethereum at this position, I don't know how to trade it, just afraid it will go down directly, I really want to short, but the position is not good, so I will wait and see first.
$BTC Bitcoin is also bearish, short it at rebound points, I placed a short at 65000, take the opportunity to trade, if not, just wait and see.
Snapshot at Aug 12, 2026, 02:10
The seemingly cheap CORE keeps accumulating, is it a bargain opportunity or a trap for harvesting retail investors?
$CORE 打开okx星球看见很多兄弟姐妹都在讨论CORE,那它到底是埋伏未来行情的捡漏机遇,还是项目方源源不断收割散户的专属猎场? 为什么大家总觉得低价CORE是捡漏机遇? 支撑散户加仓的理由到底是什么… 是价格视觉落差带来的抄底错觉,从历史最高点距离现价跌幅高达99.7%,直观上给大家带来已经跌无可跌的感受,所以认为,大跌之后跌无可跌,随便买点就能坐等反弹盈利。 还是BTCFi赛道的长期叙事加持。它主打比特币算力共识、BTC质押生息,是圈内最早布局比特币二层金融生态的项目之一,大家都坚信,只要后续SatPay支付功能正式上线,生态马上就能产生真实收益,币价自然迎来反转。 或者是补仓回本的信仰执念。已经在高位深度套牢,不甘心亏损离场,唯一的办法就是加仓拉低持仓均价,指望一波小幅反弹就能顺利解套,这就是大家逆势加仓的核心驱动力吗? 持续加仓CORE,本质会不会是踏入割韭菜猎场? 币价下跌不是错杀,是CORE基本面长期乏力的真实定价 我认为真正值得我们抄底的是底层盈利能力、生态布局没有问题。但是反观CORE,长期阴跌是生态空心化虚假宣传的必然结果。 链上数据显示CORE大量流通筹码集中在



